Publications

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Peer-Reviewed Articles Books & Special Issues Research Map
Books
External Validity for Social Inquiry
Findley, Michael G., Michael Denly, and Kyosuke Kikuta. Cambridge University Press. Under contract.
Global Shell Games: Experiments in Transnational Relations, Crime, and Terrorism
Findley, Michael G., Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. 2014. Cambridge University Press.
Book site Summary
Journal Special Issues
Research Transparency in the Social Sciences
Eds. Findley, Michael G., Nathan M. Jensen, Edmund J. Malesky, and Thomas B. Pepinsky. 2016. Comparative Political Studies Special Issue.
PDF (full issue)
Expanding Our Understanding of Aid with a New Generation in Development Finance Information
Eds. Hawkins, Darren G., Michael G. Findley, and Timmons J. Roberts. 2011. World Development Special Issue.
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Peer-Reviewed Articles
2026
A Natural Field Experiment on the Effectiveness of Economic Sanctions Before and After the Russian Invasion of Ukraine
Findley, Michael G., Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. Nature Human Behaviour. Forthcoming.
2025
Can Digital Aid Deliver During Humanitarian Crises?
Callen, Michael, Miguel Fajardo-Steinhauser, Michael G. Findley, and Tarek Ghani. Management Science.
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Policing Socio-Geographic Boundaries and Inequality
Verrilli, Allison, Marcel Roman, Hannah Walker, Derek Epp, Amy Liu, and Michael G. Findley. Perspectives on Politics.
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Banking Bad: A Global Field Experiment on Risk, Reward, and Regulation
Findley, Michael G., Daniel L. Nielson, and Jason Sharman. American Journal of Political Science.
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2024
Vulnerability in Research Ethics: A Call for Assessing Vulnerability and Implementing Protections
Findley, Michael G., Faten Ghosn, and Sara Lowe. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
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The Tyranny of Supply: Natural Resources and Rebel Territorial Control in Civil Conflicts
Aronson, Jacob, Michael G. Findley, Kyosuke Kikuta, and James Igoe Walsh. International Studies Quarterly.
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2023
Aiding War: Foreign Aid and the Intensity of Violent Armed Conflict
Findley, Michael G., Daniel Strandow, Joseph K. Young, and Olgahan Cat. International Studies Quarterly.
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Normalizing Diversity in Merit Review Forms
Liu, Amy H., Michael G. Findley, et al. PS: Political Science and Politics.
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2022
Do Natural Resources Really Cause Civil Conflict? Evidence from the New Global Resources Dataset
Denly, Michael, Michael G. Findley, Joelean Hall, Andrew Stravers, and James Igoe Walsh. Journal of Conflict Resolution.
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2021
External Validity
Findley, Michael G., Kyosuke Kikuta, and Michael Denly. Annual Review of Political Science 24(1): 365–393.
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2020
Electoral Institutions and Electoral Cycles in Investment Incentives
Jensen, Nathan, Michael G. Findley, and Daniel L. Nielson. American Journal of Political Science 64(4): 807–822.
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The Swarm Principle: A Sub-national Analysis of Donor Coordination in Sub-Saharan Africa
Marineau, Josiah, and Michael G. Findley. Stability: International Journal of Security and Development 9(1): 9.
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The Local Geography of Transnational Terrorism
Marineau, Josiah, Henry Pascoe, Alex Braithwaite, Michael G. Findley, and Joseph K. Young. Conflict Management and Peace Science 37(3): 350–381.
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2019
How Government Reactions to Violence Worsen Social Welfare: Evidence from Peru
Sexton, Renard, Rachel Wellhausen, and Michael G. Findley. American Journal of Political Science 63(2): 353–367.
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2018
Does Foreign Aid Build Peace?
Findley, Michael G. Annual Review of Political Science 21(1): 359–384.
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The Economic Roots of Anti-Immigrant Prejudice in the Global South: Evidence from South Africa
Harris, Adam S., Michael G. Findley, Daniel L. Nielson, and Kennard L. Noyes. Political Research Quarterly 71(1): 228–241.
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A Spatial Generalized Linear Mixed Model for Analyzing Efficiency of Foreign Aid Allocation
White, Philip, Candace Berrett, Shannon Neeley Tass, and Michael G. Findley. The American Statistician 73(4): 385–399.
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2017
Who Controls Foreign Aid? Elite versus Public Perceptions of Donor Influence in Aid-Dependent Uganda
Findley, Michael G., Adam S. Harris, Helen V. Milner, and Daniel L. Nielson. International Organization 71(4): 633–663.
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The Choice among Aid Donors: The Effects of Multilateral vs. Bilateral Aid on Recipient Behavioral Support
Findley, Michael G., Helen V. Milner, and Daniel L. Nielson. Review of International Organizations 12(2): 307–334.
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An Ontology of Peace: Landscapes of Conflict and Cooperation
Campbell, Susanna P., Michael G. Findley, and Kyosuke Kikuta. International Studies Review 19(1): 92–113.
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External Validity in Parallel Global Field and Survey Experiments on Anonymous Incorporation
Findley, Michael G., Brock Laney, Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. Journal of Politics 79(3): 856–872.
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Anonymous Shell Companies: A Global Audit Study and Field Experiment in 176 Countries
Allred, Brent B., Michael G. Findley, Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. Journal of International Business Studies 48(5): 596–619.
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2016
Can Results Free Review Reduce Publication Bias?
Findley, Michael G., Nathan M. Jensen, Edmund J. Malesky, and Thomas B. Pepinsky. Comparative Political Studies 49(3): 1667–1703.
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A Hybrid Approach to Modeling Territorial Control in Violent Armed Conflicts
Tao, Ran, Daniel Strandow, Michael G. Findley, and Jean-Claude Thill. Transactions in GIS 20(3): 413–425.
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Citizen Preferences and Public Goods: Comparing Preferences for Foreign Aid and Government Programs in Uganda
Milner, Helen V., Daniel L. Nielson, and Michael G. Findley. Review of International Organizations 11(2): 219–245.
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The Downstream Effects of Combatant Fragmentation on Civil War Recurrence
Rudloff, Peter J., and Michael G. Findley. Journal of Peace Research 53(1): 19–32.
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Political Exclusion, Oil, and Ethnic Armed Conflict
Asal, Victor, Michael G. Findley, James A. Piazza, and James Igoe Walsh. Journal of Conflict Resolution 60(8): 1343–1367.
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Field Experiments in Strategy Research
Chatterji, Aaron, Michael G. Findley, Nathan M. Jensen, Stephan Meier, and Daniel L. Nielson. Strategic Management Journal 37(1): 116–132.
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2015
Terrorism, Spoiling, and the Resolution of Civil Wars
Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. Journal of Politics 77(4): 1115–1128.
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Causes of Non-Compliance with International Law: A Field Experiment on Anonymous Incorporation
Findley, Michael G., Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. American Journal of Political Science 59(1): 146–161.
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Lootable Resources and Third-Party Intervention into Civil Wars
Findley, Michael G., and Josiah F. Marineau. Conflict Management and Peace Science 32(5): 465–486.
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Orchestrating the Fight Against Anonymous Incorporation: A Field Experiment
Findley, Michael G., Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. In Abbott, Genschel, Snidal, and Zangl (Eds.) International Organizations as Orchestrators. Cambridge University Press. (Peer-reviewed chapter.)
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Obligated to Deceive? Aliases, Confederates, and the Common Rule in International Field Experiments
Findley, Michael G., and Daniel L. Nielson. In Desposato (Ed.) Ethics and Experiments. Routledge. (Peer-reviewed chapter.)
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2014
Funding Terror
Baradaran, Shima, Michael G. Findley, Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. University of Pennsylvania Law Review 162(3): 477–536.
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Is Ethnicity Identifiable? Lessons From An Experiment in South Africa
Harris, Adam S., and Michael G. Findley. Journal of Conflict Resolution 58(1): 4–33.
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2013
Bargaining and the Interdependent Stages of Civil War Resolution
Findley, Michael G. Journal of Conflict Resolution 57(5): 905–932.
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Does International Law Matter?
Baradaran, Shima, Michael G. Findley, Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. Minnesota Law Review 97(3): 743–837.
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Radicalism of the Hopeless: Refugee Flows and Transnational Terrorism
Milton, Daniel L., Megan M. Spencer, and Michael G. Findley. International Interactions 39(5): 621–645.
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Using Field Experiments in International Relations: A Randomized Study of Anonymous Incorporation
Findley, Michael G., Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. International Organization 67(4): 657–693.
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2012
Combatant Fragmentation and the Dynamics of Civil War
Findley, Michael G., and Peter J. Rudloff. British Journal of Political Science 42(4): 879–901.
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Games Rivals Play: Terrorism in International Rivalries
Findley, Michael G., James Piazza, and Joseph K. Young. Journal of Politics 74(1): 235–248.
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More Combatant Groups, More Terror? Empirical Tests of an Outbidding Logic
Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. Terrorism and Political Violence 24(5): 706–721.
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Terrorism and Civil War: A Spatial and Temporal Approach to a Conceptual Problem
Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. Perspectives on Politics 10(2): 285–305.
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Using Geography to Understand Terrorist Actors and Actions
Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. International Studies Review 14(3): 475–497.
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Computational Modeling to Study Conflicts and Terrorism
Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. Handbook of Research Methods in the Military. (Chapter.)
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2011
Foreign Aid Shocks as a Cause of Violent Armed Conflict
Nielsen, Richard A., Michael G. Findley, Zachary S. Davis, Tara Candland, and Daniel L. Nielson. American Journal of Political Science 55(2): 219–232.
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Just Part of the Game? Arms Races, Rivalry, and War
Rider, Toby J., Michael G. Findley, and Paul F. Diehl. Journal of Peace Research 48(1): 85–100.
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The Localized Geography of Foreign Aid: A New Dataset and Application to Violent Armed Conflict
Findley, Michael G., Josh Powell, Daniel Strandow, and Jeff Tanner. World Development 39(11): 1995–2009.
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More Dollars than Sense: Refining Our Knowledge of Development Finance Using AidData
Tierney, Michael J., Daniel L. Nielson, Darren G. Hawkins, et al. World Development 39(11): 1891–1906.
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Can Peace Be Purchased? A Sectoral-Level Analysis of Aid's Influence on Transnational Terrorism
Young, Joseph K., and Michael G. Findley. Public Choice 149(3–4): 365–381.
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Promise and Pitfalls of Terrorism Research
Young, Joseph K., and Michael G. Findley. International Studies Review 13(3): 411–431.
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Terrorism, Democracy, and Credible Commitments
Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. International Studies Quarterly 55(2): 357–378.
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The Weakest Link: Scholarship and Policy on Intrastate Conflict
Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young.
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Emerging Donors and the Changing Landscape of Bilateral Aid
Findley, Michael G., and Katherine Kitterman. In Moschella and Weaver (Eds.) Handbook of Global Economic Governance. (Chapter.)
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2009
Rumor Dynamics in Ethnic Violence
Bhavnani, Ravi, Michael G. Findley, and James H. Kuklinski. Journal of Politics 71(3): 876–892.
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2008
Agents and Conflict: Adaptation and the Dynamics of War
Findley, Michael G. Complexity 14(1): 22–35.
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2007
Accounting for the Unaccounted: Weak-Actor Social Structure in Asymmetric Wars
Findley, Michael G., and Scott Edwards. International Studies Quarterly 51(3): 583–606.
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Fighting Fire with Fire? How (Not) to Neutralize an Insurgency
Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. Civil Wars 9(4): 378–401.
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2006
Rethinking Third-Party Interventions into Civil Wars: An Actor-Centric Approach
Findley, Michael G., and Tze Kwang Teo. Journal of Politics 68(4): 828–837.
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Interactive Research Map

An interactive visualization of my research organized by domain, with cross-branch connections. Click and drag to explore; hover over nodes for details.