Publications

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Peer-Reviewed Articles Books & Special Issues Research Map

Pressure Persuasion Stabilization Dynamics Methodology

Books

Under Contract

External Validity for Social Inquiry

Findley, Michael G., Michael Denly, and Kyosuke Kikuta. Cambridge University Press. Under contract.

Methodology

2014

Global Shell Games: Experiments in Transnational Relations, Crime, and Terrorism

Findley, Michael G., Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. 2014. Cambridge University Press.

Pressure

Book site Summary Video

Journal Special Issues

2016

Research Transparency in the Social Sciences

Eds. Findley, Michael G., Nathan M. Jensen, Edmund J. Malesky, and Thomas B. Pepinsky. 2016. Comparative Political Studies Special Issue.

Methodology

PDF (full issue)

2011

Expanding Our Understanding of Aid with a New Generation in Development Finance Information

Eds. Hawkins, Darren G., Michael G. Findley, and Timmons J. Roberts. 2011. World Development Special Issue.

Persuasion Methodology

PDF

Peer-Reviewed Articles

2026

A Natural Field Experiment on the Effectiveness of Economic Sanctions Before and After the Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Findley, Michael G., Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. Nature Human Behaviour. Forthcoming.

Pressure

2025

Can Digital Aid Deliver During Humanitarian Crises?

Callen, Michael, Miguel Fajardo-Steinhauser, Michael G. Findley, and Tarek Ghani. Management Science.

Persuasion

PDF

Policing Socio-Geographic Boundaries and Inequality

Verrilli, Allison, Marcel Roman, Hannah Walker, Derek Epp, Amy Liu, and Michael G. Findley. Perspectives on Politics.

Dynamics

PDF

Banking Bad: A Global Field Experiment on Risk, Reward, and Regulation

Findley, Michael G., Daniel L. Nielson, and Jason Sharman. American Journal of Political Science.

Pressure

PDF

2024

Vulnerability in Research Ethics: A Call for Assessing Vulnerability and Implementing Protections

Findley, Michael G., Faten Ghosn, and Sara Lowe. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

Methodology

PDF

The Tyranny of Supply: Natural Resources and Rebel Territorial Control in Civil Conflicts

Aronson, Jacob, Michael G. Findley, Kyosuke Kikuta, and James Igoe Walsh. International Studies Quarterly.

Dynamics

PDF

2023

Aiding War: Foreign Aid and the Intensity of Violent Armed Conflict

Findley, Michael G., Daniel Strandow, Joseph K. Young, and Olgahan Cat. International Studies Quarterly.

Persuasion Dynamics Stabilization

PDF

Normalizing Diversity in Merit Review Forms

Liu, Amy H., Michael G. Findley, et al. PS: Political Science and Politics.

Methodology

PDF

2022

Do Natural Resources Really Cause Civil Conflict? Evidence from the New Global Resources Dataset

Denly, Michael, Michael G. Findley, Joelean Hall, Andrew Stravers, and James Igoe Walsh. Journal of Conflict Resolution.

Dynamics

PDF

2021

External Validity

Findley, Michael G., Kyosuke Kikuta, and Michael Denly. Annual Review of Political Science 24(1): 365–393.

Methodology

PDF

2020

Electoral Institutions and Electoral Cycles in Investment Incentives

Jensen, Nathan, Michael G. Findley, and Daniel L. Nielson. American Journal of Political Science 64(4): 807–822.

Methodology

PDF

The Swarm Principle: A Sub-national Analysis of Donor Coordination in Sub-Saharan Africa

Marineau, Josiah, and Michael G. Findley. Stability: International Journal of Security and Development 9(1): 9.

Persuasion Stabilization

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The Local Geography of Transnational Terrorism

Marineau, Josiah, Henry Pascoe, Alex Braithwaite, Michael G. Findley, and Joseph K. Young. Conflict Management and Peace Science 37(3): 350–381.

Dynamics

PDF

2019

How Government Reactions to Violence Worsen Social Welfare: Evidence from Peru

Sexton, Renard, Rachel Wellhausen, and Michael G. Findley. American Journal of Political Science 63(2): 353–367.

Dynamics Pressure

PDF

2018

Does Foreign Aid Build Peace?

Findley, Michael G. Annual Review of Political Science 21(1): 359–384.

Persuasion Stabilization

PDF

The Economic Roots of Anti-Immigrant Prejudice in the Global South: Evidence from South Africa

Harris, Adam S., Michael G. Findley, Daniel L. Nielson, and Kennard L. Noyes. Political Research Quarterly 71(1): 228–241.

Dynamics

PDF

A Spatial Generalized Linear Mixed Model for Analyzing Efficiency of Foreign Aid Allocation

White, Philip, Candace Berrett, Shannon Neeley Tass, and Michael G. Findley. The American Statistician 73(4): 385–399.

Persuasion Methodology

PDF

2017

Who Controls Foreign Aid? Elite versus Public Perceptions of Donor Influence in Aid-Dependent Uganda

Findley, Michael G., Adam S. Harris, Helen V. Milner, and Daniel L. Nielson. International Organization 71(4): 633–663.

Persuasion

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The Choice among Aid Donors: The Effects of Multilateral vs. Bilateral Aid on Recipient Behavioral Support

Findley, Michael G., Helen V. Milner, and Daniel L. Nielson. Review of International Organizations 12(2): 307–334.

Persuasion

PDF

An Ontology of Peace: Landscapes of Conflict and Cooperation

Campbell, Susanna P., Michael G. Findley, and Kyosuke Kikuta. International Studies Review 19(1): 92–113.

Stabilization Dynamics

PDF

External Validity in Parallel Global Field and Survey Experiments on Anonymous Incorporation

Findley, Michael G., Brock Laney, Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. Journal of Politics 79(3): 856–872.

Methodology Pressure

PDF

Anonymous Shell Companies: A Global Audit Study and Field Experiment in 176 Countries

Allred, Brent B., Michael G. Findley, Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. Journal of International Business Studies 48(5): 596–619.

Pressure

PDF

2016

Can Results Free Review Reduce Publication Bias?

Findley, Michael G., Nathan M. Jensen, Edmund J. Malesky, and Thomas B. Pepinsky. Comparative Political Studies 49(3): 1667–1703.

Methodology

PDF

A Hybrid Approach to Modeling Territorial Control in Violent Armed Conflicts

Tao, Ran, Daniel Strandow, Michael G. Findley, and Jean-Claude Thill. Transactions in GIS 20(3): 413–425.

Dynamics Methodology

PDF

Citizen Preferences and Public Goods: Comparing Preferences for Foreign Aid and Government Programs in Uganda

Milner, Helen V., Daniel L. Nielson, and Michael G. Findley. Review of International Organizations 11(2): 219–245.

Persuasion

PDF

The Downstream Effects of Combatant Fragmentation on Civil War Recurrence

Rudloff, Peter J., and Michael G. Findley. Journal of Peace Research 53(1): 19–32.

Stabilization Dynamics

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Political Exclusion, Oil, and Ethnic Armed Conflict

Asal, Victor, Michael G. Findley, James A. Piazza, and James Igoe Walsh. Journal of Conflict Resolution 60(8): 1343–1367.

Dynamics

PDF

Field Experiments in Strategy Research

Chatterji, Aaron, Michael G. Findley, Nathan M. Jensen, Stephan Meier, and Daniel L. Nielson. Strategic Management Journal 37(1): 116–132.

Methodology

PDF

2015

Terrorism, Spoiling, and the Resolution of Civil Wars

Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. Journal of Politics 77(4): 1115–1128.

Stabilization Dynamics

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Causes of Non-Compliance with International Law: A Field Experiment on Anonymous Incorporation

Findley, Michael G., Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. American Journal of Political Science 59(1): 146–161.

Pressure

PDF

Lootable Resources and Third-Party Intervention into Civil Wars

Findley, Michael G., and Josiah F. Marineau. Conflict Management and Peace Science 32(5): 465–486.

Dynamics

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Orchestrating the Fight Against Anonymous Incorporation: A Field Experiment

Findley, Michael G., Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. In Abbott, Genschel, Snidal, and Zangl (Eds.) International Organizations as Orchestrators. Cambridge University Press. (Peer-reviewed chapter.)

Pressure

PDF

Obligated to Deceive? Aliases, Confederates, and the Common Rule in International Field Experiments

Findley, Michael G., and Daniel L. Nielson. In Desposato (Ed.) Ethics and Experiments. Routledge. (Peer-reviewed chapter.)

Methodology

PDF

2014

Funding Terror

Baradaran, Shima, Michael G. Findley, Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. University of Pennsylvania Law Review 162(3): 477–536.

Pressure

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Is Ethnicity Identifiable? Lessons From An Experiment in South Africa

Harris, Adam S., and Michael G. Findley. Journal of Conflict Resolution 58(1): 4–33.

Dynamics Methodology

PDF

2013

Bargaining and the Interdependent Stages of Civil War Resolution

Findley, Michael G. Journal of Conflict Resolution 57(5): 905–932.

Stabilization Dynamics

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Does International Law Matter?

Baradaran, Shima, Michael G. Findley, Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. Minnesota Law Review 97(3): 743–837.

Pressure

PDF

Radicalism of the Hopeless: Refugee Flows and Transnational Terrorism

Milton, Daniel L., Megan M. Spencer, and Michael G. Findley. International Interactions 39(5): 621–645.

Dynamics

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Using Field Experiments in International Relations: A Randomized Study of Anonymous Incorporation

Findley, Michael G., Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. International Organization 67(4): 657–693.

Methodology Pressure

PDF

2012

Combatant Fragmentation and the Dynamics of Civil War

Findley, Michael G., and Peter J. Rudloff. British Journal of Political Science 42(4): 879–901.

Dynamics

PDF

Games Rivals Play: Terrorism in International Rivalries

Findley, Michael G., James Piazza, and Joseph K. Young. Journal of Politics 74(1): 235–248.

Dynamics Pressure

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More Combatant Groups, More Terror? Empirical Tests of an Outbidding Logic

Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. Terrorism and Political Violence 24(5): 706–721.

Dynamics

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Terrorism and Civil War: A Spatial and Temporal Approach to a Conceptual Problem

Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. Perspectives on Politics 10(2): 285–305.

Dynamics

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Using Geography to Understand Terrorist Actors and Actions

Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. International Studies Review 14(3): 475–497.

Dynamics

PDF

Computational Modeling to Study Conflicts and Terrorism

Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. Handbook of Research Methods in the Military. (Chapter.)

Methodology Dynamics

PDF

2011

Foreign Aid Shocks as a Cause of Violent Armed Conflict

Nielsen, Richard A., Michael G. Findley, Zachary S. Davis, Tara Candland, and Daniel L. Nielson. American Journal of Political Science 55(2): 219–232.

Persuasion Dynamics Stabilization

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Just Part of the Game? Arms Races, Rivalry, and War

Rider, Toby J., Michael G. Findley, and Paul F. Diehl. Journal of Peace Research 48(1): 85–100.

Dynamics Pressure

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The Localized Geography of Foreign Aid: A New Dataset and Application to Violent Armed Conflict

Findley, Michael G., Josh Powell, Daniel Strandow, and Jeff Tanner. World Development 39(11): 1995–2009.

Persuasion Methodology Dynamics

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More Dollars than Sense: Refining Our Knowledge of Development Finance Using AidData

Tierney, Michael J., Daniel L. Nielson, Darren G. Hawkins, et al. World Development 39(11): 1891–1906.

Persuasion Methodology

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Can Peace Be Purchased? A Sectoral-Level Analysis of Aid's Influence on Transnational Terrorism

Young, Joseph K., and Michael G. Findley. Public Choice 149(3–4): 365–381.

Persuasion Dynamics

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Promise and Pitfalls of Terrorism Research

Young, Joseph K., and Michael G. Findley. International Studies Review 13(3): 411–431.

Dynamics Methodology

PDF

Terrorism, Democracy, and Credible Commitments

Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. International Studies Quarterly 55(2): 357–378.

Dynamics

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The Weakest Link: Scholarship and Policy on Intrastate Conflict

Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young.

Methodology Dynamics Pressure

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Emerging Donors and the Changing Landscape of Bilateral Aid

Findley, Michael G., and Katherine Kitterman. In Moschella and Weaver (Eds.) Handbook of Global Economic Governance. (Chapter.)

Persuasion

PDF

2009

Rumor Dynamics in Ethnic Violence

Bhavnani, Ravi, Michael G. Findley, and James H. Kuklinski. Journal of Politics 71(3): 876–892.

Dynamics Methodology

PDF

2008

Agents and Conflict: Adaptation and the Dynamics of War

Findley, Michael G. Complexity 14(1): 22–35.

Dynamics Methodology

PDF

2007

Accounting for the Unaccounted: Weak-Actor Social Structure in Asymmetric Wars

Findley, Michael G., and Scott Edwards. International Studies Quarterly 51(3): 583–606.

Dynamics

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Fighting Fire with Fire? How (Not) to Neutralize an Insurgency

Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. Civil Wars 9(4): 378–401.

Pressure Dynamics Stabilization

PDF

2006

Rethinking Third-Party Interventions into Civil Wars: An Actor-Centric Approach

Findley, Michael G., and Tze Kwang Teo. Journal of Politics 68(4): 828–837.

Dynamics Pressure

PDF

Interactive Research Map