Publications

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Peer-Reviewed Articles Books & Special Issues Research Map

SCOPESecurity, Conflict, & Peace Evidence

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Books

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External Validity for Social Inquiry

Findley, Michael G., Michael Denly, and Kyosuke Kikuta. Cambridge University Press. Under contract; revise and resubmit.

Evidence

2014

Global Shell Games: Experiments in Transnational Relations, Crime, and Terrorism

Findley, Michael G., Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. 2014. Cambridge University Press.

Security Evidence

Book site Summary Video

Journal Special Issues

2016

Research Transparency in the Social Sciences

Eds. Findley, Michael G., Nathan M. Jensen, Edmund J. Malesky, and Thomas B. Pepinsky. 2016. Comparative Political Studies Special Issue.

Evidence

PDF (full issue)

2011

Expanding Our Understanding of Aid with a New Generation in Development Finance Information

Eds. Hawkins, Darren G., Michael G. Findley, and Timmons J. Roberts. 2011. World Development Special Issue.

Peace Evidence

PDF

Peer-Reviewed Articles

2026

A Natural Field Experiment on the Effectiveness of Economic Sanctions Before and After the Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Findley, Michael G., Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. Nature Human Behaviour. Forthcoming.

Security

2025

Can Digital Aid Deliver During Humanitarian Crises?

Callen, Michael, Miguel Fajardo-Steinhauser, Michael G. Findley, and Tarek Ghani. Management Science.

Peace

PDF

Policing Socio-Geographic Boundaries and Inequality

Verrilli, Allison, Marcel Roman, Hannah Walker, Derek Epp, Amy Liu, and Michael G. Findley. Perspectives on Politics.

Conflict Security

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Banking Bad: A Global Field Experiment on Risk, Reward, and Regulation

Findley, Michael G., Daniel L. Nielson, and Jason Sharman. American Journal of Political Science.

Security

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2024

Vulnerability in Research Ethics: A Call for Assessing Vulnerability and Implementing Protections

Findley, Michael G., Faten Ghosn, and Sara Lowe. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

Evidence

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The Tyranny of Supply: Natural Resources and Rebel Territorial Control in Civil Conflicts

Aronson, Jacob, Michael G. Findley, Kyosuke Kikuta, and James Igoe Walsh. International Studies Quarterly.

Conflict

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2023

Aiding War: Foreign Aid and the Intensity of Violent Armed Conflict

Findley, Michael G., Daniel Strandow, Joseph K. Young, and Olgahan Cat. International Studies Quarterly.

Conflict Peace

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Normalizing Diversity in Merit Review Forms

Liu, Amy H., Michael G. Findley, et al. PS: Political Science and Politics.

Evidence

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2022

Do Natural Resources Really Cause Civil Conflict? Evidence from the New Global Resources Dataset

Denly, Michael, Michael G. Findley, Joelean Hall, Andrew Stravers, and James Igoe Walsh. Journal of Conflict Resolution.

Conflict Evidence

PDF

2021

External Validity

Findley, Michael G., Kyosuke Kikuta, and Michael Denly. Annual Review of Political Science 24(1): 365–393.

Evidence

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2020

Electoral Institutions and Electoral Cycles in Investment Incentives

Jensen, Nathan, Michael G. Findley, and Daniel L. Nielson. American Journal of Political Science 64(4): 807–822.

Evidence

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The Swarm Principle: A Sub-national Analysis of Donor Coordination in Sub-Saharan Africa

Marineau, Josiah, and Michael G. Findley. Stability: International Journal of Security and Development 9(1): 9.

Peace

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The Local Geography of Transnational Terrorism

Marineau, Josiah, Henry Pascoe, Alex Braithwaite, Michael G. Findley, and Joseph K. Young. Conflict Management and Peace Science 37(3): 350–381.

Conflict

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2019

How Government Reactions to Violence Worsen Social Welfare: Evidence from Peru

Sexton, Renard, Rachel Wellhausen, and Michael G. Findley. American Journal of Political Science 63(2): 353–367.

Conflict Security

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2018

Does Foreign Aid Build Peace?

Findley, Michael G. Annual Review of Political Science 21(1): 359–384.

Peace Conflict

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The Economic Roots of Anti-Immigrant Prejudice in the Global South: Evidence from South Africa

Harris, Adam S., Michael G. Findley, Daniel L. Nielson, and Kennard L. Noyes. Political Research Quarterly 71(1): 228–241.

Conflict

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A Spatial Generalized Linear Mixed Model for Analyzing Efficiency of Foreign Aid Allocation

White, Philip, Candace Berrett, Shannon Neeley Tass, and Michael G. Findley. The American Statistician 73(4): 385–399.

Peace Evidence

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2017

Who Controls Foreign Aid? Elite versus Public Perceptions of Donor Influence in Aid-Dependent Uganda

Findley, Michael G., Adam S. Harris, Helen V. Milner, and Daniel L. Nielson. International Organization 71(4): 633–663.

Peace

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The Choice among Aid Donors: The Effects of Multilateral vs. Bilateral Aid on Recipient Behavioral Support

Findley, Michael G., Helen V. Milner, and Daniel L. Nielson. Review of International Organizations 12(2): 307–334.

Peace

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An Ontology of Peace: Landscapes of Conflict and Cooperation

Campbell, Susanna P., Michael G. Findley, and Kyosuke Kikuta. International Studies Review 19(1): 92–113.

Peace Conflict

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External Validity in Parallel Global Field and Survey Experiments on Anonymous Incorporation

Findley, Michael G., Brock Laney, Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. Journal of Politics 79(3): 856–872.

Evidence Security

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Anonymous Shell Companies: A Global Audit Study and Field Experiment in 176 Countries

Allred, Brent B., Michael G. Findley, Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. Journal of International Business Studies 48(5): 596–619.

Security

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2016

Can Results Free Review Reduce Publication Bias?

Findley, Michael G., Nathan M. Jensen, Edmund J. Malesky, and Thomas B. Pepinsky. Comparative Political Studies 49(3): 1667–1703.

Evidence

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A Hybrid Approach to Modeling Territorial Control in Violent Armed Conflicts

Tao, Ran, Daniel Strandow, Michael G. Findley, and Jean-Claude Thill. Transactions in GIS 20(3): 413–425.

Conflict Evidence

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Citizen Preferences and Public Goods: Comparing Preferences for Foreign Aid and Government Programs in Uganda

Milner, Helen V., Daniel L. Nielson, and Michael G. Findley. Review of International Organizations 11(2): 219–245.

Peace

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The Downstream Effects of Combatant Fragmentation on Civil War Recurrence

Rudloff, Peter J., and Michael G. Findley. Journal of Peace Research 53(1): 19–32.

Peace Conflict

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Political Exclusion, Oil, and Ethnic Armed Conflict

Asal, Victor, Michael G. Findley, James A. Piazza, and James Igoe Walsh. Journal of Conflict Resolution 60(8): 1343–1367.

Conflict

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Field Experiments in Strategy Research

Chatterji, Aaron, Michael G. Findley, Nathan M. Jensen, Stephan Meier, and Daniel L. Nielson. Strategic Management Journal 37(1): 116–132.

Evidence

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2015

Terrorism, Spoiling, and the Resolution of Civil Wars

Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. Journal of Politics 77(4): 1115–1128.

Peace Conflict

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Causes of Non-Compliance with International Law: A Field Experiment on Anonymous Incorporation

Findley, Michael G., Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. American Journal of Political Science 59(1): 146–161.

Security

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Lootable Resources and Third-Party Intervention into Civil Wars

Findley, Michael G., and Josiah F. Marineau. Conflict Management and Peace Science 32(5): 465–486.

Conflict Security

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Orchestrating the Fight Against Anonymous Incorporation: A Field Experiment

Findley, Michael G., Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. In Abbott, Genschel, Snidal, and Zangl (Eds.) International Organizations as Orchestrators. Cambridge University Press. (Peer-reviewed chapter.)

Security

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Obligated to Deceive? Aliases, Confederates, and the Common Rule in International Field Experiments

Findley, Michael G., and Daniel L. Nielson. In Desposato (Ed.) Ethics and Experiments. Routledge. (Peer-reviewed chapter.)

Evidence

PDF

2014

Funding Terror

Baradaran, Shima, Michael G. Findley, Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. University of Pennsylvania Law Review 162(3): 477–536.

Security Conflict

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Is Ethnicity Identifiable? Lessons From An Experiment in South Africa

Harris, Adam S., and Michael G. Findley. Journal of Conflict Resolution 58(1): 4–33.

Conflict Evidence

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2013

Bargaining and the Interdependent Stages of Civil War Resolution

Findley, Michael G. Journal of Conflict Resolution 57(5): 905–932.

Peace Conflict

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Does International Law Matter?

Baradaran, Shima, Michael G. Findley, Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. Minnesota Law Review 97(3): 743–837.

Security

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Radicalism of the Hopeless: Refugee Flows and Transnational Terrorism

Milton, Daniel L., Megan M. Spencer, and Michael G. Findley. International Interactions 39(5): 621–645.

Conflict

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Using Field Experiments in International Relations: A Randomized Study of Anonymous Incorporation

Findley, Michael G., Daniel L. Nielson, and J.C. Sharman. International Organization 67(4): 657–693.

Evidence Security

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2012

Combatant Fragmentation and the Dynamics of Civil War

Findley, Michael G., and Peter J. Rudloff. British Journal of Political Science 42(4): 879–901.

Conflict

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Games Rivals Play: Terrorism in International Rivalries

Findley, Michael G., James Piazza, and Joseph K. Young. Journal of Politics 74(1): 235–248.

Conflict Security

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More Combatant Groups, More Terror? Empirical Tests of an Outbidding Logic

Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. Terrorism and Political Violence 24(5): 706–721.

Conflict

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Terrorism and Civil War: A Spatial and Temporal Approach to a Conceptual Problem

Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. Perspectives on Politics 10(2): 285–305.

Conflict

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Using Geography to Understand Terrorist Actors and Actions

Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. International Studies Review 14(3): 475–497.

Conflict

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Computational Modeling to Study Conflicts and Terrorism

Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. Handbook of Research Methods in the Military. (Chapter.)

Evidence Conflict

PDF

2011

Foreign Aid Shocks as a Cause of Violent Armed Conflict

Nielsen, Richard A., Michael G. Findley, Zachary S. Davis, Tara Candland, and Daniel L. Nielson. American Journal of Political Science 55(2): 219–232.

Conflict Peace

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Just Part of the Game? Arms Races, Rivalry, and War

Rider, Toby J., Michael G. Findley, and Paul F. Diehl. Journal of Peace Research 48(1): 85–100.

Conflict Security

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The Localized Geography of Foreign Aid: A New Dataset and Application to Violent Armed Conflict

Findley, Michael G., Josh Powell, Daniel Strandow, and Jeff Tanner. World Development 39(11): 1995–2009.

Conflict Peace Evidence

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More Dollars than Sense: Refining Our Knowledge of Development Finance Using AidData

Tierney, Michael J., Daniel L. Nielson, Darren G. Hawkins, et al. World Development 39(11): 1891–1906.

Peace Evidence

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Can Peace Be Purchased? A Sectoral-Level Analysis of Aid's Influence on Transnational Terrorism

Young, Joseph K., and Michael G. Findley. Public Choice 149(3–4): 365–381.

Conflict Peace

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Promise and Pitfalls of Terrorism Research

Young, Joseph K., and Michael G. Findley. International Studies Review 13(3): 411–431.

Conflict Evidence

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Terrorism, Democracy, and Credible Commitments

Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. International Studies Quarterly 55(2): 357–378.

Conflict

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The Weakest Link: Scholarship and Policy on Intrastate Conflict

Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young.

Evidence Conflict Security

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Emerging Donors and the Changing Landscape of Bilateral Aid

Findley, Michael G., and Katherine Kitterman. In Moschella and Weaver (Eds.) Handbook of Global Economic Governance. (Chapter.)

Peace

PDF

2009

Rumor Dynamics in Ethnic Violence

Bhavnani, Ravi, Michael G. Findley, and James H. Kuklinski. Journal of Politics 71(3): 876–892.

Conflict Evidence

PDF

2008

Agents and Conflict: Adaptation and the Dynamics of War

Findley, Michael G. Complexity 14(1): 22–35.

Conflict Evidence

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2007

Accounting for the Unaccounted: Weak-Actor Social Structure in Asymmetric Wars

Findley, Michael G., and Scott Edwards. International Studies Quarterly 51(3): 583–606.

Conflict

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Fighting Fire with Fire? How (Not) to Neutralize an Insurgency

Findley, Michael G., and Joseph K. Young. Civil Wars 9(4): 378–401.

Security Conflict Peace

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2006

Rethinking Third-Party Interventions into Civil Wars: An Actor-Centric Approach

Findley, Michael G., and Tze Kwang Teo. Journal of Politics 68(4): 828–837.

Conflict Security

PDF

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