Works In Progress (available on request):
- “Natural Resources and Civil Conflict: Evidence From a New, Georeferenced Dataset.” (With Mike Denly, Joelean Hall, Andy Stravers, and Jim Walsh.) Revise and Resubmit at Journal of Conflict Resolution. PDF Draft.
- "Foreign Aid and the Intensity of Violent Armed Conflict." (With Olgahan Cat, Daniel Strandow, and Joseph Young.) PDF Draft. PDF Appendix Draft.
- “How Natural Resources Alter Territorial Control During Civil Wars.” (With Jacob Aronson, Kyosuke Kikuta, and Jim Walsh.) PDF Draft.
- “Ex-combatant Demobilization and Support for Peace: A Reconciliation Quasi-Experiment in Colombia.”(With Oliver Kaplan and Joseph K. Young.)
- "Experimental Evidence from Uganda, South Africa, and the United States on Ethnic Identification and Ethnic Deception.'" (With Habyarimana, Harris, Humphreys, Nielson, Posner, Weinstein
- "Understanding the Local Effects of UN Peace Operations: A Quasi-Experimental Spatial Impact Evaluation in Burundi." (With Susanna Campbell)
- Aid in Conflict? Donor Behavior in Conflict-Affected Countries. Book manuscript in progress. (With Susanna Campbell.)
- "The Strategic Logic of Targeting of Aid by Rebel Groups During War." (With Trey Billing and David Backer)
Published (also see Publications page):
- "How Government Reactions to Violence Worsen Social Welfare: Evidence from Peru." American Journal of Political Science (With Renard Sexton and Rachel Wellhausen.)
- "The Weakest Link: Scholarship and Policy on Intrastate Conflict." (With Joseph K. Young).
- "Does Foreign Aid Build Peace?" Annual Review of Political Science
- "The Economic Roots of Anti-Immigrant Prejudice in the Global South: Evidence from South Africa." Political Research Quarterly (With Adam Harris, Kennard Noyes, and Daniel Nielson)
- "An Ontology of Peace: Landscapes of Conflict and Cooperation." International Studies Review (With Susanna Campbell and Kyosuke Kikuta)
- "A Hybrid Approach to Modeling Territorial Control in Violent Armed Conflicts." Transactions in GIS (With Ran Tao, Daniel Strandow, Jean-Claude, and James Walsh)
- "The Downstream Effects of Combatant Fragmentation in Civil Wars." Journal of Peace Research (With Peter Rudloff)
- "Terrorism, Spoiling, and the Resolution of Civil Wars." Journal of Politics (With Joseph K. Young)
- "Exclusion, Oil, and Ethnic Armed Conflict." Journal of Conflict Resolution (With Victor Asal, James Piazza, and James Walsh)
- "Lootable Resources and Third-Party Intervention into Civil Wars." Conflict Management and Peace Science (With Josiah Marineau)
- "Is Ethnicity Identifiable? Lessons from an Experiment in South Africa." 2014. Journal of Conflict Resolution (With Adam Harris)
- "Bargaining and the Interdependent Stages of Civil War Resolution." 2013. Journal of Conflict Resolution
- "Terrorism and Civil War: A Spatial and Temporal Approach to a Conceptual Problem." 2012. Perspectives on Politics (With Joe Young)
- "More Combatant Groups, More Terror? Empirical Tests of an Outbidding Logic." 2012. Terrorism and Political Violence (With Joe Young)
- "Combatant Fragmentation and the Dynamics of Civil War." 2012. British Journal of Political Science (With Peter J. Rudloff)
- "The Localized Geography of Foreign Aid: A New Dataset and Application to Violent Armed Conflict." 2011. World Development (With Daniel Strandow, Josh Powell, and Jeff Tanner)
- "Foreign Aid Shocks as a Cause of Violent Armed Conflict." 2011. American Journal of Political Science (With Richard Nielsen, Zachary S. Davis, Tara Candland, and Daniel L. Nielson)
- "Rumor Dynamics in Ethnic Violence." 2009. Journal of Politics (With Ravi Bhavnani and James H. Kuklinski)
- "Agents and Conflict: Adaptation and the Complexity of War." 2008. Complexity
- "Fighting Fire with Fire?: How (Not) to Neutralize an Insurgency." 2007. Civil Wars (With Joe Young)
- "Accounting for the Unaccounted: Weak-Actor Social Structure in Asymmetric Wars." 2007. International Studies Quarterly (With Scott Edwards)
- "Rethinking Third Party Interventions into Civil Wars: An Actor-Centric Approach." 2006. Journal of Politics (With Tze Kwang Teo)
- National Science Foundation, Interdisciplinary Behavioral and Social Sciences Research (IBSS), $250,000 consortium grant, (With Michigan, Maryland, BYU)
- "Donor Behavior in Conflict Affected Countries." Swiss Network for International Studies (SNIS). $256,000 Consortium Grant. (With the Graduate Institute of Geneva). 2014-2016.
- "Natural Resources and Armed Conflict." Department of Defense Minerva Initiative. $800,000 Consortium Grant. (With University of North Carolina, Charlotte). 2014-2017.